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03/10/2010 - Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dwyane Wade poured in 27 points, dished out eight assists, and pulled down six rebounds, as the Miami Heat led wire-to-wire in a 108-97 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers.
Jermaine O'Neal donated 19 points and nine rebounds for the Heat, who have won four of five. Michael Beasley tallied 15 points while Mario Chalmers ended with 12 points and six assists off the bench for Miami, which started a six- game homestand on Wednesday.
Rasual Butler finished with 31 points for the Clippers, who have dropped five in a row and fell to 0-3 on the current five-game road trip. Chris Kaman had 16 points and five rebounds. Steve Blake chipped in 12 points and five assists while Baron Davis added 10 points and nine assists for Los Angeles, which dropped to 7-26 as the guest this season.
The Heat took control from the start, opening the game on a 14-3 burst. The Clippers chipped away at the deficit and had it down to four, 18-14, on Butler's trey with about 3 1/2 minutes to go. Chalmers' three-pointer had the home team ahead 34-24 after one quarter of action.
Miami maintained that margin in the second and took a 57-48 lead into the locker room.
Back-to-back three-pointers from Butler had Los Angeles within five, 75-70, with less than five minutes remaining in the third. However, the Heat responded by closing out the period on a 15-2 run. Wade had seven points during the burst, which Chalmers capped with a trey to make it 90-72.
The Clippers never got closer than ninth in the fourth.
Game Notes
The Heat and Clippers split a pair of meetings this season...Despite the loss, Los Angeles has won five of the last eight games in this series...The Clippers have lost 12 of their last 13 road games...Miami went 29-of-35 from the foul line, while the Clippers made 10-of-13 from the charity stripe.
<< Billups, Nuggets send T'Wolves to seventh straight loss
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chauncey Billups delivered 25 points to
lead Denver in a 110-102 final over Minnesota at the Target Center.
Carmelo Anthony recorded 19 points, six rebounds and five assists for the
Nuggets, who wo
<< Robert Morris wins second straight Northeast Conference title
Hamden, CT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Karon Abraham scored 16 points on 7-of-14
shooting, and Robert Morris secured its second straight Northeast Conference
Tournament championship and a trip to the NCAA Tournament with a thrilling
52-50 w
<< Road warriors: Grizzlies run road streak to seven with rout in Boston
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rudy Gay led a potent Memphis attack with 28
points, as the Grizzlies' ran their road winning streak to seven games with a
convincing 111-91 win over the Celtics.
O.J. Mayo notched 17 points, and Marcus Wil
<< Jazz continue mastery of Pistons
Auburn Hills, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Deron Williams paced a balanced attack
with 18 points and 12 assists, and the Utah Jazz trounced the Detroit Pistons,
115-104, at the Palace at Auburn Hills.
Mehmet Okur and Paul Millsap each added 18
Mavericks down Nets for 13th straight victory >>
Dallas, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jason Kidd racked up 20 points and nine assists,
as the Dallas Mavericks extended their winning streak with a 96-87 victory
over the New Jersey Nets at the American Airlines Center.
Caron Butler added 18
Raptors-Kings, Box >>
TORONTO (90)Turkoglu 2-8 2-2 6, Bosh 6-20 2-3 14, Bargnani 8-12 3-4 20, Jack 6-12 0-0 14, DeRozan 5-10 4-4 14, Wright 0-4 0-0 0, Johnson 1-2 2-2 4, Calderon 4-8 1-2 10, R.Evans 2-2 0-0 4, Weems 2-3 0-0 4, Belinelli 0-1 0-0 0. Totals 36-82 14-17 9
Canucks-Coyotes Sum >>
Vancouver 1 1 1 0-3Phoenix 1 1 1 0-4Phoenix won shootout 4-3First Period-1, Phoenix, Stempniak 16 (Yandle), 10:16. 2, Vancouver, H.Sedin 27 (Samuelsson, D.Sedin), 19:14.Second Period-3, Vancouver, Samuelsson 28 (H.Sedin), :36. 4, Phoenix, Py
Man acquitted in death of Rice basketball player >>
BRYAN, Texas (AP) -A former Marine has been acquitted in the stabbing death of a Rice University basketball player during a 2007 fight outside a Texas bar.Ronald Andrew Johnson was found not guilty Wednesday in Jonathan Bailey's death and of the agg
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?
Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite. Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight. With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites. As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).
Midwest
#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler
The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April. Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT. After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games. Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season. As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers. Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS). Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field. With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.
#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV
As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year. If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season. As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well. This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons. Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late. There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games. It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.
East
#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown
“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season. Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU. They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games. With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field. Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense. Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc. The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range. Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.
#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC
The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country. Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times. Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter. UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen. UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS. An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games. This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS. USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types. An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough. USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS. They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12. When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at this sportsbook “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
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